Wednesday, December 16, 2015

National Fertilizers Ltd @28.30

1. National Fertilizers Ltd is a 10 rupee face value Fertilizer company. 

2. Year high of National Fertilizers Ltd is 42.80 and year low was 20.10, stock traded at 28.30, Year high/ low ratio is slightly higher then 2 but when a stock is recover more then 40% from year low and if company declare a positive result after the date of year low then year high/low ratio is acceptable till 2.5 and
National fertilizer ltd is a perfect example of this theory, here positive results means increasing sales and profits in comparison of earlier quarter result., If you are new reader of my blog and not familiar with my research terms then please see my research terms at this link :-
3. Promoters of National Fertilizers Ltd hold 89.71 %FII hold nil % and DII hold 5.99%. Promoters holding is sound . NFL is a PSU company so Govt. of India is promoter of this company.
4.National Fertilizers Ltd This stock have a regular dividend history. See past dividends from NFL here:-
EX DatePurpose
15/09/2015Dividend 0.17
29/08/2012Dividend 0.78
29/08/2011Dividend 0.85
30/08/2010Dividend 1.05
28/08/2009Dividend 0.60

5. Base price of National Fertilizers Ltd is 34.58 So Current market is near about 18% below the base price.
Click here to download last 3 year closing price with graph 
6. No any bonus issue right issue and bulk deals is recorded in last 2 year.
7. National Fertilizers Ltd net sale per share of Fy 14-15 is 173.77 net sale per share is very sound  so this stock have chance to become a multi bagger. 
8. Book value of National Fertilizers Ltd is 30.19 CMP is also lower then book value so in book value concept this stock is a value buy. 
9. NFL is a good dividend paying PSU company for long term view and also give a positive breakout over 200 DMA 
10. 200 DMA of National Fertilizers Ltd is 28.16 so National fertilizers ltd also give a positive breakout above 200 DMA and I think traders will also get a position in this stock and long term ivestor may buy this stock till price of 35 after that hold it for decent gains. 
11. This is my second recommendation in NFL, New readers please must read my earlier article about NFL which I publish on 2009 and recommended to buy NFL @36 plus also recommended to shift nagarjuna fertilizers to NFL and after this article my readers get 313% profit in National fertilizer stock and book his profit @149 at 2010. Nagarjuna fertilizer is currently merge with Nagarjuna oil refinary which traded @ 4 only.
Here is the link of this earlier article of 2009:-
11. My recent updates :- Buy SAIL @ 4511. 
Disclaimer:- This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this research report” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “this research report”. The author is neither a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time.The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Please read full disclaimer at the bottom of my blog. 
Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not hold any share of National Fertilizers Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( National Fertilizers Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not received any type of compensation from the subject company(National Fertilizers Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company ( National Fertilizers Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company (National Fertilizers Ltd).

Sunday, November 29, 2015

Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd @ 104

1. Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd is a 10 rupee face value gold and diamond jewellery company.

2. Year high of Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd is 187.80 year low was 102.10 and stock traded at 104.00, Year high/ low ratio is  below 2 so as my theory current market price is   stable .  
If you are new reader of my blog and not familiar with my research terms then please read my research terms at this link


3. Promoters of Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd hold 74.12 %FII hold 15.87% % and DII hold 0.05%. Promoters holding is sound and they not pledged any stok so this is a  good point and a sound FII holding also indicate that very low percent of stock is hold by general public when a stock have low general public holding then price of stock easily run on demand from general investors.

4.Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd Give  2.25 to 0.75 rupee dividend in last some years
5. Base price of Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd is 165.73 So CMP is 37% below than  base price and I think this is the best price to start investment in this stock. 
Please remember it does not mean that price not fall further from here but we never catch bottom price of a stock so we use base price and year high/low theory to find out a best stable and cheap price.
Click here to download last 3 year closing price with graph
6. No any bonus issue right issue and bulk deals is recorded  in last 2 year.
6. Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd net sale per share of FY 2014-15 is 289.85.
7. Net sale per share is very sound at 289 so this stock have chance to become a multi-bagger when it turn around in profits.
8. Book value of Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd is 69.77 CMP is higher   then book value so in book value concept this stock is not a value buy. 
But book value is continue increase year by year in 2011 book value of TBZ is 21.42 and in 2015 book value of TBZ is 69.77 generally I avoid book value concept when year high/ low ratio is stable and net sale per share is higher then CMP in this case net sale per share is quite higher at 289.85 so this is the reason why I recommended this stock at CMP
8. Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd have branches in 
Ahmedabad
Aurangabad
Bhavnagar
Gandhidham
Hyderabad
Indore
Kochi
Kolkata
Mumbai
Nagpur
Pune
Raipur
Rajkot
Surat
Thane
Udaipur
Vasai
Vashi
Vadodara
Vapi
Vijayawada 
and recently open  new branches in Dhanbad and Jaipur.Overall this stock is a good for long term .

9. 200 DMA of Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd is 140.33 So at CMP 104.00 Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd is not technically sound yet and not useful for trading purpose but for long term fundamental view of 1-2 year this is a great buy.
10. My recent updates :-
11. Disclaimer:- This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this research report” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “this research report”. The author is neither a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time.The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Please  read full disclaimer at the bottom of my blog.
12.Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not hold any share of Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not  received any type of compensation from the subject company(Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company ( Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company (Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Ltd).


Sunday, November 15, 2015

Kirloskar Brothers Ltd @ 160

1. Kirloskar Brothers Ltd is a 2 rupee face value Industrial machinery company.
2. Year high of Kirloskar Brothers Ltd is 249.92 year low was 162.00 and stock traded at 167.10, Year high/ low ratio is   below 2 so as my theory current market price is  stable, but if stock down below 125 then this ratio is above 2 in downside ( Although there are no chance to down below 125 because in last 3 year stock not cross 125 in downside but every thing and every price is possible in stock market) in this condition take 125 as a stop loss and use reverse trading system as I described in my book.,  If you are new reader of my blog and not familiar with my research terms then please see my research terms at this link
3. Promoters of Kirloskar Brothers Ltd hold 63.34 %FII hold 7.41 % and DII hold 9.43%. Promoters not pledged any stok so this is an another good point. See my latest you tube video about pledged stocks finding here https://youtu.be/2LFitCmOLW0
4.Kirloskar Brothers Ltd Give  3.50 to 0.50 rupee dividend in last 5 years but due to net loss in Sept 2015 resulet, I think If profits not improve then dividend may down in next year .
5. No any bonus issue right issue and bulk deals is recorded  in last 2 year.
6. Kirloskar Brothers Ltd net sale per share of Fy 14-15 is 204.72.
7. Net sale per share is  higher then CMP . One of my respected blog reader ask that why L&T and Cipla like blue chip traded very high above his net sale per share? And It is impossible to down these blue chip at there lower net sale per share. I agree with him actually when we buy below net sale per share then we are more safe and we have more chance to get returns but it does not mean that every stock down till his net sale per share.
8. Book value of Kirloskar Brothers Ltd is 100.28 CMP is higher   then book value so in book value concept this stock is not a value buy. 
I am not consider book value in my buying because some sector like IT stocks have always low book value and banking stocks have always higher book value. 
If this stock down below 125 and you use reverse trading system (read my book for this ) then we use book value to buy it again below 100 as a value buy.
8. Overall this stock is  good If available below 160 in coming days.
9. 200 DMA of Kirloskar Brothers Ltd is 198.83 So at CMP 167.10 Kirloskar Brothers Ltd not show positive breakout above 200 DMA.
So If you are a trader then please note this stock is not breakout yet and traded below his 200 DMA. If this stock cross price of 200 in up-trend then it may give decent trading run. Long term investor like me not see price of stock regularly so I am not hesitate to buy at CMP and stocks which traded below 200 DMA
10. Base price of Kirloskar Brothers Ltd is 190.35 So CMP is near 10 % below from base price so as my theory If you buy below 15 % of base price means below 160 then it is a best price for long term.
Click here to download last 3 year closing price with graph
11. My recent updates :- See my latest youtube video about how to find out promoters pledged shares in BSE website

12. Disclaimer:- This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this research report” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “this research report”. The author is neither a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time.The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions. Please  read full disclaimer at the bottom of my blog.

13.Discloser:- I Mahesh Chander Kaushik author of this research report is an existing research analyst and passed NISM certification for research analysts. I am also registered under SEBI(RESEARCH ANALYSTS) REGULATIONS, 2014 ( SEBI Registration Number INH 100000908 ) hereby disclose about my financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest:- 1 Me and my associates or relatives have not hold any share of Kirloskar Brothers Ltd so my personal interest is not included in this stock. 2. Me and my associates or relatives have not any actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more securities of the subject company ( Kirloskar Brothers Ltd). 3. Me and my associates or relatives have not any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. 4. Me and my associates or relatives have not  received any type of compensation from the subject company(Kirloskar Brothers Ltd) in the past twelve months. 5. I am not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company ( Kirloskar Brothers Ltd). 6. I have been not engaged in market making activity for the subject company (Kirloskar Brothers Ltd).


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disclaimer:-Trading in stock market is very risky. This website is not perfect. This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “maheshkaushik.com” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in “www.maheshkaushik.com”. Subject to pindwara(india) jurisdiction only. The author is neither a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice.. While he believes his statements to be true, they always depend on the reliability of his own credible sources. The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, author of this website is not a trend technical analyst.